• Question: Do you ever feel that your investigative work is too inexact and uncertain to provide real scientific evidence?

    Asked by mayi001 to Wei on 15 Jun 2011.
    • Photo: Wei Xun

      Wei Xun answered on 15 Jun 2011:


      Hi Mayi001:

      I think I have answered a similar question here: http://ias.im/43.53

      So the short answer is that no, since we report how accurate our results are. If I’m not at least 95% sure that something is true, then I decide that it’s not a significant finding which could happen by chance.

      Sometimes non-significant finding is just as important as significant ones. Think the game 20 questions: you are asking “is it an apple?” “No”, “is it a banana” “No”, after you’ve exhausted what it cannot be, you’re closer to what it must be. It’s a bit like the principle of investigative work a la Sherlock Holmes style:

      http://www.thescienceofdeduction.co.uk/

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